romeroquant/bitcoin-harmonic-time-model

This repository holds a research paper and its supporting files about a theory the author calls the Bitcoin Harmonic Time Model. Rather than describing software you install and run, it is an independent academic style paper arguing that Bitcoin's price cycles follow a repeating mathematical pattern over time, roughly 1,060 days of price expansion followed by about 370 days of contraction, according to the author. The paper's central claims are these. First, the Bitcoin halving, a scheduled event roughly every four years where new Bitcoin issuance is cut in half, is described not as an outside event that shocks the market, but as something that falls at a specific, fixed point within this repeating cycle. Second, the paper proposes what it calls a law of amplitude, a formula suggesting that each cycle's price swings shrink in a predictable, decreasing pattern compared to the size of the prior downturn, which the author reports fits historical price data closely. Third, the paper argues that the 2024 introduction of spot Bitcoin ETFs, investment funds that let traditional investors buy Bitcoin exposure without holding it directly, sped up the pace of these cycles rather than breaking the underlying multi year pattern. The repository contains the finished paper as a PDF, the LaTeX source files used to typeset it so others can reproduce or check the formatting, and a folder of image figures including a clock style diagram and a chart illustrating the amplitude pattern described above. There is also a citation template for anyone who wants to reference the paper in their own work. This is a solo authored piece of financial and mathematical theory rather than a tool, library, or app, aimed at people interested in quantitative approaches to cryptocurrency market cycles. The README does not mention a software license for the repository's contents.