marianovilla/oloraculo

Oloraculo is a World Cup 2026 prediction project written in C#. The name is a Spanish wordplay combining "oraculo" (oracle) and "olor" (smell), which the author describes as a "very silly attempt" to forecast tournament results. The README includes a link to a YouTube video explaining the project's concept and backstory. The system runs 10,000 simulated versions of the entire tournament each time it updates, then calculates what fraction of those simulations each team wins. The result is a probability table showing each team's likelihood of advancing through different stages: qualifying from the group, reaching the quarterfinals, reaching the semifinal, making the final, and winning the championship. As of the most recent published update, England, Argentina, and Spain were clustered near the top at roughly 6% each to win the whole tournament. The README also contains a full match-by-match breakdown for each group, showing the model's predicted scoreline next to the actual result for matches already played, and its current forecast for upcoming fixtures. The README updates automatically as new match data comes in and more simulations run. The project appears to be a personal side project, built with an element of humor. The "smells like" framing is a joke about the oracle making guesses based on instinct rather than rigorous statistical models. Whether the underlying simulation uses any structured football statistics or simply runs random outcomes is not explained in the README. No installation instructions or setup guide are included, suggesting the project is primarily meant to be read here rather than run locally by others.