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luyou666/china-housing-forecast-lite-skill

23Audience · generalComplexity · 1/5Setup · easy

TLDR

A structured prompt package for AI assistants that guides analysis of China's housing market, producing probability estimates for price movements across multiple time horizons.

Mindmap

mindmap
  root((China Housing Forecast))
    Input Modes
      User data provided
      AI web search
    Output Format
      Data quality table
      Composite score
      Price probabilities
    Time Horizons
      3 months
      6 months
      12 months
      24 months
    Advice Types
      Owner occupier
      Investor
    Caveats
      Not investment advice
      Public data only
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Code map

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Things people build with this

USE CASE 1

Feed your own housing price tables for a Chinese city and get probability forecasts for 3, 6, 12, and 24 months

USE CASE 2

Ask the AI to research current trends for cities like Beijing or Shanghai without providing any data

USE CASE 3

Get separate advice for owner-occupiers versus investors along with flags for any data gaps

Getting it running

Difficulty · easy Time to first run · 5min

No code to install, load the prompt instructions into an AI assistant with internet access for the web-search mode to work.

In plain English

This is a structured prompt system, called a "Skill," designed to help AI assistants analyze the Chinese real estate market. It is not a traditional software application with code that runs on its own. Instead, it is a collection of structured instruction files that tell an AI how to think through housing price questions for cities and regions across China. The Skill operates in two modes. In the first mode, the user provides their own data, such as tables of prices or transaction volumes, and the AI applies the built-in scoring model to assess trends, cross-check the data, and produce probability estimates for how prices might move over three, six, twelve, or twenty-four months. In the second mode, the user can simply ask a question like "Is Beijing's second-hand housing market bottoming out?" and if the AI has internet access, it will search for recent public data before answering. The output follows a standard template that includes a table rating each data source by quality and freshness, a composite score, adjustments for economic and population factors, and separate probability estimates for price increases, sideways movement, and declines across different time horizons. It also separates advice for owner-occupiers from advice for investors and flags data gaps where information was unavailable. The README includes a plain-language section for first-time users, noting common misconceptions: interest rate cuts do not guarantee price rises, population inflow does not lift all neighborhoods equally, and asking prices on listings are not the same as actual sale prices. The project is explicit that it only uses publicly accessible data and cannot bypass paywalls or login restrictions. It is described as a tool for learning and discussion, not for investment advice, and carries a disclaimer to that effect.

Copy-paste prompts

Prompt 1
Using the china-housing-forecast-lite-skill framework, analyze this table of Shanghai housing prices from the last 12 months and give me probability estimates for price changes over 3, 6, and 12 months.
Prompt 2
Apply the china-housing-forecast-lite-skill scoring model to answer: Is Beijing's second-hand housing market bottoming out? Search for recent public data if you have internet access.
Prompt 3
I have transaction volume data for Shenzhen from Q1 2025. Use the china-housing-forecast-lite-skill template to rate my data sources, compute a composite score, and flag any data gaps.
Prompt 4
What common misconceptions does the china-housing-forecast-lite-skill warn about, and how does it separate asking prices from actual sale prices in its analysis?
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